Showing posts with label Asia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Asia. Show all posts

Monday, 10 August 2009

Asian Development Bank predicts Asia ex Japan GDP to recover to pre recession level of 6% in 2010...

... however, it is too early to declare V for victory. Governments have substituted public investment for private investment and exports that have evaporated. With Western demand unlikely to pick up the slack, 6% GDP must come from domestic demand, which is unlikely. The ADB report shows that Asian demand, including China, accounts for 22% of demand for Asian exports. Moreover, H1 Chinese imports fell -25%. So, until Asian economies can create sustainable domestic demand, their recovery will remain fragile.